Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.035709 0.041570 0.048086 0.055870 0.064915 0.075098 0.087437
2025-11-16 0.026167 0.033710 0.042971 0.055182 0.070869 0.090361 0.116457
2025-11-23 0.020595 0.028667 0.039358 0.054559 0.075644 0.103898 0.144722
2025-11-30 0.017405 0.025814 0.037665 0.055595 0.082076 0.119827 0.177902
2025-12-07 0.014656 0.022960 0.035306 0.055010 0.085735 0.131937 0.206963
2025-12-14 0.012345 0.020305 0.032718 0.053496 0.087497 0.141120 0.232494
2025-12-21 0.010513 0.018076 0.030392 0.051923 0.088740 0.149372 0.257328
2025-12-28 0.009500 0.017018 0.029762 0.052952 0.094254 0.165047 0.296326
2026-01-04 0.008526 0.015868 0.028789 0.053199 0.098357 0.178709 0.333476
2026-01-11 0.007680 0.014819 0.027832 0.053298 0.102126 0.192120 0.371772
2026-01-18 0.007043 0.014062 0.027291 0.054061 0.107158 0.208343 0.417305
2026-01-25 0.006563 0.013537 0.027105 0.055453 0.113527 0.227773 0.471466
2026-02-01 0.005763 0.012279 0.025363 0.053580 0.113276 0.234488 0.501499
2026-02-08 0.005232 0.011503 0.024489 0.053373 0.116421 0.248441 0.548513
2026-02-15 0.004738 0.010738 0.023536 0.052860 0.118828 0.261117 0.594442
2026-02-22 0.004430 0.010339 0.023305 0.053882 0.124692 0.281855 0.660902
2026-03-01 0.004034 0.009682 0.022426 0.053319 0.126898 0.294775 0.711209
2026-03-08 0.003619 0.008927 0.021226 0.051851 0.126801 0.302431 0.750124
2026-03-15 0.003248 0.008228 0.020068 0.050327 0.126357 0.309196 0.787746
2026-03-22 0.003070 0.007979 0.019949 0.051325 0.132211 0.331705 0.867471
2026-03-29 0.002864 0.007633 0.019549 0.051565 0.136187 0.350085 0.939122
2026-04-05 0.002669 0.007290 0.019115 0.051660 0.139801 0.367993 1.011944
2026-04-12 0.002523 0.007057 0.018934 0.052399 0.145213 0.391189 1.102112